Top AI experts badly underestimated how fast the field is moving, study finds

Technology · en

Top AI experts badly underestimated how fast the field is moving, study finds

The Decoder · Sep 24, 2026, 7:18 PM UTC

Leading AI experts have consistently underestimated how fast AI is advancing, according to the Forecasting Research Institute. AI reached gold-medal level at the International Mathematical Olympiad five years ahead of the median expert forecast, and Anthropic's annualized revenue is about five times what experts predicted.…

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